akhilis2cool wrote:I second that.Arfat wrote:Moreover I request my fellow Indians not to land on premature conclusions and invoke another fire of hatred that will do no good to any of us except to those behind the incident.
3rd
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akhilis2cool wrote:I second that.Arfat wrote:Moreover I request my fellow Indians not to land on premature conclusions and invoke another fire of hatred that will do no good to any of us except to those behind the incident.


Mayavi Morpheus wrote:We are a nation of cowards. Time and again the enemy kicks us in the nuts and still we extend our hand in peace only to get kicked again. The international community will advice us to excercise restraint and the countless kandle kissers will demand that we dont abandon the peace talks. Why not? None of their kin ever get killed in these acts and the lives of rest of indians dont matter to them. After all we are a billion!
How long are we going to tolerate this? What is the price we are willing to pay to achieve peace?
Have we become so insensitive to terrorrism that 100's of people get killed every year and we still dont demand action?
Portuguese Man-Of-War wrote:Mayavi Morpheus wrote:We are a nation of cowards. Time and again the enemy kicks us in the nuts and still we extend our hand in peace only to get kicked again. The international community will advice us to excercise restraint and the countless kandle kissers will demand that we dont abandon the peace talks. Why not? None of their kin ever get killed in these acts and the lives of rest of indians dont matter to them. After all we are a billion!
How long are we going to tolerate this? What is the price we are willing to pay to achieve peace?
Have we become so insensitive to terrorrism that 100's of people get killed every year and we still dont demand action?
You cannot engage a country in war when:
a. it wants war, and
b. it has nukes
Pakistan is a poor country where in the hinterland most people do not have hope for a better future. Their kids don't go to school, they do not have 2 meals a day on most days, they lack dignity and human rights. Such people can be easily made to believe that someone else is responsible for their plight (read: someone from across the border). And there are several people whose personal agendas are helped by such propaganda.
I have often felt that India's prosperity lies in Pakistan's prosperity. To curb Pakistan's militancy, we should make Pakistan rich, and dependant on us for that.
Pakistan's exports to India are less than $1b currently, as far as I know. Suppose Pakistan were exporting $20b a year to India, of its entire GDP of about $280b (India's is $800b).
The actual impact on Pakistan's GDP of this revenue would be manifold, primarily through:
1. Exports to other countries by these same industries which have reached critical mass due to exports to India
2. Multiplier effect on GDP due to spending by these industries
I am sure that Pakistan's top economic brass would know this. And then they would not rock their boat. You do not mess with a country which is providing you a good part of your income, which is your big customer. Just like we are forever apprehensive of antagonizing the US (refer the Iran episode).
I am sure that our own economists know this. All terrorism breeds due to poverty. That is the root.
Of course, this is a theoretical solution. But I think it forms the basis for how the developed world deals with terrorist hotbeds. There is a long-term strategy behind all individual responses we see.
When you go to war, you do exactly what the terrorists want you to do. They are people anyway willing to die. You nuking them makes no difference to them. They will nuke you too.
When you are much bigger than someone else, and they have nothing to lose, you will always come out at the short end in a stand-off - look at the US in Iraq. We just work smart to minimize damage. We will lose innocent people in acts of terrorism. That can never be completely eliminated. We just work stretegically to minimize it, both in the short term and in the long term, and hopefully, bring it to an end in 15, 20, 50 years. Getting emotional will just mean playing into their hands, and much more damage.

What makes u think that pakistan wld want to put itself into this kind of a situation where it will depend on India for its revenues?PMOW wrote:Suppose Pakistan were exporting $20b a year to India, of its entire GDP of about $280b (India's is $800b).
The actual impact on Pakistan's GDP of this revenue would be manifold, primarily through:
1. Exports to other countries by these same industries which have reached critical mass due to exports to India
2. Multiplier effect on GDP due to spending by these industries
I am sure that Pakistan's top economic brass would know this. And then they would not rock their boat. You do not mess with a country which is providing you a good part of your income, which is your big customer. Just like we are forever apprehensive of antagonizing the US (refer the Iran episode).
I am sure that our own economists know this. All terrorism breeds due to poverty. That is the root.
Of course, this is a theoretical solution. But I think it forms the basis for how the developed world deals with terrorist hotbeds. There is a long-term strategy behind all individual responses we see.


CtrlAltDel wrote:
at worst we can play their game and encourage a "proxy war" in balochistan, sindh and waziristan (tribal areas bordering afghanistan).
that cud be true...but just like indian press n politicians tend to unnecessarily blame the ISI for every sneeze or flood, i feel their paki counterparts also blame every pin prick on RAW. fr'instance everytime shias n sunnis slaughter each other, the paki govt hints at an indian hand and silently arrest the real sectarian culpritspingu wrote:i think something of the sort is going on .... these "fiercely independent" areas dont have an negligible RAW presence .. and RAW is almost as big a demon in the pakistani press as ISI is here ... no smoke without fire ...CtrlAltDel wrote:
at worst we can play their game and encourage a "proxy war" in balochistan, sindh and waziristan (tribal areas bordering afghanistan).

CtrlAltDel wrote:everytime shias n sunnis slaughter each other
can v even compare the ISIs activities to RAW? RAW is an intelligence wgency and its doing its job. But can the same b said abt ISI?pingu wrote:CtrlAltDel wrote:
at worst we can play their game and encourage a "proxy war" in balochistan, sindh and waziristan (tribal areas bordering afghanistan).
i think something of the sort is going on .... these "fiercely independent" areas dont have an negligible RAW presence .. and RAW is almost as big a demon in the pakistani press as ISI is here ... no smoke without fire ...

akhilis2cool wrote:can v even compare the ISIs activities to RAW? RAW is an intelligence wgency and its doing its job. But can the same b said abt ISI?
ISI is pakisan's intelligence agency and its doing its job tooakhilis2cool wrote:can v even compare the ISIs activities to RAW? RAW is an intelligence wgency and its doing its job. But can the same b said abt ISI?pingu wrote:CtrlAltDel wrote:
at worst we can play their game and encourage a "proxy war" in balochistan, sindh and waziristan (tribal areas bordering afghanistan).
i think something of the sort is going on .... these "fiercely independent" areas dont have an negligible RAW presence .. and RAW is almost as big a demon in the pakistani press as ISI is here ... no smoke without fire ...

byt its job i meant collecting intellegence from across the border...not aiding terorrist organisations.fp wrote:akhilis2cool wrote:can v even compare the ISIs activities to RAW? RAW is an intelligence wgency and its doing its job. But can the same b said abt ISI?
ofcourse the same can be said about ISI .. they too are doing their job ... its just a job that not too many of us approve of .. and RAW does things that pakistan doesnt approve of ..

what makes u so sure RAW isnt doing the same there?akhilis2cool wrote:byt its job i meant collecting intellegence from across the border...not aiding terorrist organisations.fp wrote:akhilis2cool wrote:can v even compare the ISIs activities to RAW? RAW is an intelligence wgency and its doing its job. But can the same b said abt ISI?
ofcourse the same can be said about ISI .. they too are doing their job ... its just a job that not too many of us approve of .. and RAW does things that pakistan doesnt approve of ..

never heard of terorrist attacks on pakistani's in pakistan by pakistani terorrists...if RAW were doing that, why is pakistan quiet about it? why does it never speak on those lines?CtrlAltDel wrote:what makes u so sure RAW isnt doing the same there?

akhilis2cool wrote:never heard of terorrist attacks on pakistani's in pakistan by pakistani terorrists...if RAW were doing that, why is pakistan quiet about it? why does it never speak on those lines?CtrlAltDel wrote:what makes u so sure RAW isnt doing the same there?

akhilis2cool wrote:if RAW were doing that, why is pakistan quiet about it? why does it never speak on those lines?

yeah ok...but wld u say these acts are committed on as large a scale as by ISI in India?Intellipedia HP wrote:RAW's modus operandi in Kashmir has been more of a guerilla kind of skirmish. They perpetrate small clashes which are manipulated into escalation on a much bigger scale. Many of the Shia-Sunni clashes in pakistan can be attributed to RAW.

akhilis2cool wrote:yeah ok...but wld u say these acts are committed on as large a scale as by ISI in India?Intellipedia HP wrote:RAW's modus operandi in Kashmir has been more of a guerilla kind of skirmish. They perpetrate small clashes which are manipulated into escalation on a much bigger scale. Many of the Shia-Sunni clashes in pakistan can be attributed to RAW.

Vokay!Intellipedia HP wrote:akhilis2cool wrote:yeah ok...but wld u say these acts are committed on as large a scale as by ISI in India?Intellipedia HP wrote:RAW's modus operandi in Kashmir has been more of a guerilla kind of skirmish. They perpetrate small clashes which are manipulated into escalation on a much bigger scale. Many of the Shia-Sunni clashes in pakistan can be attributed to RAW.
No they aren't. And thats what I meant when I said finesse. Any large scale activity is immediately visible. And given the state of affairs in Pakistan, even these small scale activities destabilise them in a big way.
As the saying goes in hindi, Jahaan sui se kaam chalta ho, wahaan talwaar ki kya zaroorat?

Intellipedia HP wrote:akhilis2cool wrote:never heard of terorrist attacks on pakistani's in pakistan by pakistani terorrists...if RAW were doing that, why is pakistan quiet about it? why does it never speak on those lines?CtrlAltDel wrote:what makes u so sure RAW isnt doing the same there?
Collection of intelligence is an intelligence agency's prime job, though not necessary its sole job. intelligence agencies the world over indulge in acts of destabilisation etc. and RAW is no novice to the game.
The methods of different agencies might differ. For example, the CIA & the now defunct KGB have a history of political destabilisation through disinformation. ISI works in tandem with terrorist groups. RAW's modus operandi in Kashmir has been more of a guerilla kind of skirmish. They perpetrate small clashes which are manipulated into escalation on a much bigger scale. Many of the Shia-Sunni clashes in pakistan can be attributed to RAW.

Portuguese Man-Of-War wrote:You cannot engage a country in war when:
a. it wants war, and
b. it has nukes
Pakistan is a poor country where in the hinterland most people do not have hope for a better future. Their kids don't go to school, they do not have 2 meals a day on most days, they lack dignity and human rights. Such people can be easily made to believe that someone else is responsible for their plight (read: someone from across the border). And there are several people whose personal agendas are helped by such propaganda.
I have often felt that India's prosperity lies in Pakistan's prosperity. To curb Pakistan's militancy, we should make Pakistan rich, and dependant on us for that.
Suppose Pakistan were exporting $20b a year to India, of its entire GDP of about $280b (India's is $800b).
The actual impact on Pakistan's GDP of this revenue would be manifold, primarily through:
1. Exports to other countries by these same industries which have reached critical mass due to exports to India
2. Multiplier effect on GDP due to spending by these industries
I am sure that our own economists know this. All terrorism breeds due to poverty. That is the root.
Of course, this is a theoretical solution. But I think it forms the basis for how the developed world deals with terrorist hotbeds. There is a long-term strategy behind all individual responses we see.

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